TitleOwnerCategoryModified DateSize 
Emergency Preparedness
TROPICAL STORM AND HURRICANE PREPARATION

Hurricane season begins June 1st of each year and ends November 30th. South Florida can be threatened any time during this season.  This information will help you prepare for a hurricane. Please take the time to read this information carefully.

The following are some useful definitions:

• TROPICAL DEPRESSION has winds of less than 39 miles per hour or 34 knots.
• TROPICAL STORM has winds from 39 to 73 miles per hour or 34 to 63 knots.
• TROPICAL STORM “WARNING” once issued, can develop into a hurricane. 
• HURRICANE “WATCH” - a hurricane may threaten the area within 24-36 hours.
• HURRICANE “WARNING” - a hurricane is expected to strike the area within 24 hours or less.
• HURRICANE has winds of greater than 74 miles per hour or 64 knots.
            Category 1 74-95 MPH Minimal
            Category 2 95-110 MPH Moderate
            Category 3 111-130 Major
            Category 4 131-155 Extensive
            Category 5 156 MPH + Catastrophic

WHAT CAN YOU DO TO BE READY IN THE EVENT OF A DISASTER?

Before the Storm
Preparing in advance for hurricane season can determine not only how safely and comfortably you ride out the storm, but also how easily it is to handle the days and weeks after the storm has passed.  Take a look at the information collected below to learn how you can prepare in the days and weeks before a hurricane.

Plan your stay or evacuation:
Stay Home
: However, before you choose this option, make sure you know your elevation. If we experience a storm that may put a significant storm surge in your home, you need to look at the other options. Also, people in manufactured and mobile homes cannot use this option. Mobile homes and manufactured homes are not built to withstand the high winds associated with tropical storms and hurricanes.

Stay With a Friend or Relative Who has a Safe Place: If this is your plan, make arrangements in advance. You need to make sure that where you are going is safe. It defeats the purpose of evacuating if you go to an unsafe place.

Relocate Out of the Area: You may wish to travel out of harm’s way. Be sure to bring a road map and make sure that your car is full of fuel. Stay away from major bodies of water. Make arrangements in advance if you can. If you decide to use this option, go early, traffic will be heavy if you leave at the last minute, and you may not make it to your destination.

Emergency Public Shelters: For more information on Emergency Shelters and a list of available Public Shelters please visit a Miami-Dade Public Library or Publix Su

Tropical Weather Outlook

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

Tue, 23 Jul 2019 17:19:02 GMT


000
ABNT20 KNHC 231718
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Tue Jul 23 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center has issued the final advisory on
Tropical Depression Three, which has dissipated offshore of the
Florida east coast.

A non-tropical low pressure area could form over the northern Gulf
of Mexico by late Wednesday or Thursday. Thereafter, conditions
could become marginally conducive for some development as it moves
northward to northeastward late this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Latto/Brown

Remnants of Three Graphics

Tue, 23 Jul 2019 15:00:58 GMT

Remnants of Three 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 23 Jul 2019 15:00:58 GMT

Remnants of Three 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 23 Jul 2019 15:27:25 GMT

Remnants of Three Forecast Discussion Number 4

Tue, 23 Jul 2019 14:59:25 GMT

Issued at 1100 AM EDT Tue Jul 23 2019


000
WTNT43 KNHC 231459
TCDAT3

Remnants Of Three Discussion Number   4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL032019
1100 AM EDT Tue Jul 23 2019

Recent surface observations and data from an Air Force Reserve
reconnaissance aircraft indicate that the depression has
degenerated into a trough of low pressure.  Although the plane
found a weak closed circulation near the northwestern edge of the
convection earlier this morning, the last pass through that area
has shown light southwesterly winds and no evidence of a surface
circulation.  As a result, this will be the final advisory
on this system.  Data from the aircraft indicate that the system is
still producing winds of around 30 kt, and this remains the initial
intensity. The system is likely to continue producing gusty winds
through tonight.

The remnants are moving northward or 360/15 kt.  The remnants should
turn north-northeastward as they become embedded within
southwesterly flow ahead of a cold front near the southeastern
United States.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  23/1500Z 29.0N  80.0W   30 KT  35 MPH
 12H  24/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Brown

Summary for Remnants of Three (AT3/AL032019)

Tue, 23 Jul 2019 14:58:26 GMT

...DEPRESSION DISSIPATES... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... As of 11:00 AM EDT Tue Jul 23 the center of Three was located near 29.0, -80.0 with movement N at 17 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1014 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.

Remnants of Three Public Advisory Number 4

Tue, 23 Jul 2019 14:58:26 GMT

Issued at 1100 AM EDT Tue Jul 23 2019


000
WTNT33 KNHC 231458
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Remnants Of Three Advisory Number   4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL032019
1100 AM EDT Tue Jul 23 2019

...DEPRESSION DISSIPATES...
...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.0N 80.0W
ABOUT 60 MI...100 KM ESE OF DAYTONA BEACH FLORIDA
ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM SE OF ST. AUGUSTINE FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1014 MB...29.95 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC), the remnants of Three were located near
latitude 29.0 North, longitude 80.0 West. The remnants are moving
toward the north near 17 mph (28 km/h).  A turn toward the
north-northeast is expected later today.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
The remnants are expected to continue producing gusty winds through
tonight.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1014 mb (29.95 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches are possible
across the northwest Bahamas today.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system.  Additional information on this system can be
found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service,
under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at
ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

$$
Forecaster Brown

Remnants of Three Wind Speed Probabilities Number 4

Tue, 23 Jul 2019 14:58:26 GMT

Issued at 1500 UTC TUE JUL 23 2019


000
FONT13 KNHC 231458
PWSAT3
                                                                    
REMNANTS OF THREE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4               
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL032019               
1500 UTC TUE JUL 23 2019                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE REMNANTS OF THREE WERE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.0 NORTH
...LONGITUDE 80.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35
MPH...55 KM/H.                                                      
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
 
...THERE IS NO OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR THIS DATE/TIME...
AND THEREFORE NO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES CAN BE CALCULATED...
 
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BROWN                                                    

Remnants of Three Forecast Advisory Number 4

Tue, 23 Jul 2019 14:57:54 GMT

Issued at 1500 UTC TUE JUL 23 2019


000
WTNT23 KNHC 231457
TCMAT3

REMNANTS OF THREE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL032019
1500 UTC TUE JUL 23 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.0N  80.0W AT 23/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT  15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1014 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.0N  80.0W AT 23/1500Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.6N  79.9W

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.0N  80.0W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN


NHC Status Updates